To coincide with the third anniversary of the Work Programme’s introduction, the Employment Related Services Association (ERSA), the representative body for the employment support sector, commissioned Europe Economics to model the economic impact of the Work Programme. Europe Economics constructed and calibrated a time series model of the rate at which long-term claimants leave benefits. We then included the Work Programme in order to estimate its effects. The Work Programme was found to have a positive impact on the number of long-term claimants leaving benefits.